Michael Novakhov retweeted:

New cases and hospitalizations are starting to fall pretty quickly in the US. Seems to be a lot of fatalism that new strains will cause a 4th (?) wave. Not necessarily true if we can vaccinate people fast enough and keep other sensible measures in place.

covidtracking.com/data

Michael Novakhov retweeted:

p.s. Is the US data starting to show any impact from vaccines? I doubt that. Per Israeli data, vaccines take ~2+ weeks to become substantially effective and then there are the usual lags beyond that (e.g. between development of symptoms and test results showing up in the data).

Michael Novakhov retweeted:

So the question is not how many people have been vaccinated now but how many people were vaccinated as of say 3-4 weeks ago. And very few were in the US. In Israel, which got off to a much faster start, you arguably (there are some confounders) are seeing an impact already.